Bitcoin's August Fork Deadline: Is a Chain Split Coming?

iEXExchanger
Bitcoin's August Fork Deadline: Is a Chain Split Coming?

BIP-110 proposes a one-year soft fork to ban Ordinals and BRC-20 data on Bitcoin. Its mandatory signaling window opens in August with only 0.42% miner support. Adam Back and Jameson Lopp warn of a chain split.

Five weeks out from the August mandatory signaling window and Bitcoin is heading into one of its most contentious protocol debates in years. BIP-110, authored by Dathon Ohm, proposes a one-year soft fork that would ban large arbitrary data from Bitcoin transactions — effectively ending Ordinals inscriptions, BRC-20 tokens, and certain Taproot constructions repurposed for data storage. Standard coin transfers would remain unaffected.

Supporters argue inscription methods clog the network, drive up fees, and inflate the storage burden for every node operator. The proposal is surgically narrow: pre-existing UTXOs are permanently exempt, and the restrictions expire automatically after roughly 52,416 blocks — about a year — with no further action required from anyone.

The critical number is 0.42%. That is Bitcoin's current miner support for BIP-110 as of early July 2026, with approximately 5 exahashes per second out of a network total near 940 EH/s — nearly all from Ocean pool. Lock-in requires 55% support within a single difficulty retarget period. That threshold is nowhere near being met.

Here lies the real danger. The UASF mechanism forces open a mandatory signaling window around August 7 regardless of miner sentiment. If enough nodes enforce BIP-110 rules while most miners ignore it, two competing chains emerge. Adam Back of Blockstream said it plainly: the proposal does not work, breaks multiple mechanisms, and has no technical consensus in the ecosystem. Jameson Lopp warned that activation greatly increases the chances of a chain split with competing versions both claiming to be the real Bitcoin.

Exchanges should already be stress-testing deposit policies, withdrawal procedures, and wallet compatibility. The deeper question underneath BIP-110 is one Bitcoin has wrestled with since the Ordinals boom: is the base layer a monetary network, a data layer, or both?

Questions and answers

Frequently asked questions about this article

What is BIP-110 and why is it being proposed?

BIP-110 is a Bitcoin protocol proposal that would temporarily restrict arbitrary data in transactions for one year, targeting Ordinals inscriptions and BRC-20 tokens that supporters say congest the network and inflate fees. Standard coin transfers would not be affected.

What happens if Bitcoin splits into two chains?

A chain split creates two competing blockchains each claiming to be the real Bitcoin, bringing double-spend risks, halted exchange deposits, and user confusion. Historical splits like Bitcoin Cash in 2017 caused significant price volatility and lasting ecosystem fragmentation.

Why is miner support for BIP-110 so low?

Bitcoin Core has not endorsed BIP-110 and major mining pools have made no commitments. Adam Back and Jameson Lopp have publicly criticized it. Economically, miners who profit from elevated Ordinals fees have little incentive to restrict that revenue.

What should Bitcoin users do before August?

Regular users don't need to act immediately. Monitor the position your exchange or wallet takes on BIP-110 as August approaches. Avoid large transactions around the mandatory signaling window if tension escalates.