Stablecoins Lose $10 Billion in Worst Drop Since Terra-Luna

iEXExchanger
Stablecoins Lose $10 Billion in Worst Drop Since Terra-Luna

Stablecoin market cap has fallen nearly $10 billion since May, with June the worst month since Terra-Luna's 2022 collapse. USDT and USDC took the biggest hits, but analysts say this is no reason to panic.

Stablecoins have shed roughly $10 billion since May, and June alone accounted for $7.7 billion of that drop — the sharpest monthly pullback the sector has seen since Terra-Luna's collapse triggered crypto's brutal 2022 bear market.

The two market leaders took the brunt of it. Tether's USDT slipped from $190 billion in May to $184 billion, a $6 billion hit. Circle's USDC fared worse in relative terms, sliding from its March peak of roughly $80 billion down to $73 billion — a $7 billion drop. Analysts point to a mix of causes: crypto prices consolidating near yearly lows, thinning onchain liquidity, and June's outflows from spot bitcoin ETFs adding extra pressure.

Still, nobody's calling this a crisis. In percentage terms the pullback is around 3%, compared with the 26% wipeout stablecoins suffered in the year and a half after Terra-Luna imploded. Paul Howard, senior director at trading firm Wincent, describes it as "a relatively small pullback in what we believe is a long-term growth market." Wall Street hasn't budged on its forecasts either — Citi still sees the stablecoin market reaching $1.9 to $4 trillion by 2030, while Standard Chartered projects $2 trillion as soon as 2028.

The more telling detail is where the money seems to be going. Tokenized real-world assets hit a record $30.1 billion in June, with tokenized U.S. Treasuries alone accounting for about $17 billion of that. Some of the capital may simply be migrating from dollar-pegged stablecoins into tokenized versions of traditional assets — staying onchain, just changing shape.

Questions and answers

Frequently asked questions about this article

How much has the stablecoin market fallen?

Total stablecoin market cap has dropped roughly $10 billion since May, with $7.7 billion of that in June alone — about 3% of the market, but the biggest monthly decline since 2022.

What exactly caused the decline?

Analysts point to several overlapping causes: crypto prices consolidating near yearly lows, thinning onchain liquidity, and June's outflows from spot bitcoin ETFs adding extra pressure on demand.

Is this similar to the 2022 Terra-Luna collapse?

No, the scale is much smaller. After Terra-Luna, the stablecoin market lost 26% of its cap over a year and a half; this time it's only about 3%, which analysts describe as a correction rather than a crisis.

Where is the money moving out of stablecoins?

Some capital appears to be flowing into tokenized real-world assets: their volume hit a record $30.1 billion in June, with $17 billion of that in tokenized U.S. Treasuries.

Will this change long-term forecasts for the stablecoin market?

Not so far. Citi still forecasts the market reaching $1.9 to $4 trillion by 2030, while Standard Chartered expects $2 trillion as soon as 2028 — both banks have left their estimates unchanged.